Recently there have been a slew of prediction, guestimations, and prophesies about what is going to happen during the mid-term elections. Some are predicting the Tea Party candidates to run the table. Other pundits are predicting that the Congress will fall to the Republicans. Many pundits are saying that all incumbents are out the door. So many predictions, so few tell the complete stories.
So yes, the Tea Party candidates have won handily in some states (KY, UT, NJ, NV). In other states, incumbents have fallen (PA). In some states, establishment candidates have held on (CA, VA, AK). Even though all of this seems to show no pattern, there really is one. Of all the candidates that one, they won because the ran a good campaign. They had a clear, concise message that resonated with the population. Majority of the winning candidates had well-funded campaigns, whether personally financed or through party apparatus.
So what we have seen is that we should all relax on the predictions. Whether Democrat or Republican, establishment or newcomer, it really all boils down to one thing:
Let the best campaigner win.
Thursday, June 10, 2010
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